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Future Babble : Why Pundits Are Hedgehogs and Foxes Know Best
by Dan Gardner


Overview - New York Times bestselling author of Superforecasting and Future Babble
"Genuinely arresting . . . required reading for journalists, politicians, academics, and anyone who listens to them." Steven Pinker, author of How the Mind Works

We are awash in predictions.  Read more...


 
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More About Future Babble by Dan Gardner
 
 
 
Overview
New York Timesbestselling author ofSuperforecastingandFuture Babble
"Genuinely arresting . . . required reading for journalists, politicians, academics, and anyone who listens to them." Steven Pinker, author of How the Mind Works

We are awash in predictions. In newspapers, blogs, and books; on radio and television. Every day experts tell us how the economy will perform next year, if housing sales will grow or shrink, and who will win the next election. Predictions are offered about the climate, food, technology, and the world our grandchildren will inhabit. And we can't get enough of it.

Drawing on research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics, award-winning journalist Dan Gardner explores our obsession with the future. He shows how famous pundits, "hedgehogs" who stick to one big idea no matter how circumstances change, become expert at explaining away predictions that are wrong while "foxes," who are more equivocal in their judgments, are simply more accurate.

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Details
  • ISBN-13: 9780452297579
  • ISBN-10: 0452297575
  • Publisher: Plume Books
  • Publish Date: February 2012
  • Page Count: 320
  • Reading Level: Ages 18-UP


Related Categories

Books > Psychology > Cognitive Psychology & Cognition
Books > Social Science > Future Studies
Books > Psychology > History

 
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