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Predicting the Next President : The Keys to the White House
by Allan J. Lichtman


Overview - Think that Richard Nixon lost the 1960 presidential election because he sweated on TV? Or that John Kerry was swiftboated out of the presidency in 2004? Think again In Predicting the Next President political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or keys (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections.  Read more...

 
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More About Predicting the Next President by Allan J. Lichtman
 
 
 
Overview
Think that Richard Nixon lost the 1960 presidential election because he sweated on TV? Or that John Kerry was swiftboated out of the presidency in 2004? Think again In Predicting the Next President political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or keys (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections. In the chronological, successful application of these keys to every election since 1860, Lichtman dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies who want to get a head-start on calling Decision 2016."

 
Details
  • ISBN-13: 9781442269200
  • ISBN-10: 1442269200
  • Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers
  • Publish Date: May 2016
  • Page Count: 240


Related Categories

Books > Political Science > Political Process - Campaigns & Elections
Books > Political Science > American Government - Executive Branch

 
Publishers Weekly Reviews

Publishers Weekly® Reviews

  • Reviewed in: Publishers Weekly, page .
  • Review Date: 2016-07-04
  • Reviewer: Staff

With this book’s tantalizing chapter 1 subhead, “How Presidential Elections Really Work,” readers may be moved to grab it off the shelf and get a jump on 2016’s presidential election results. And it’s true, committed political enthusiasts will be rewarded with juicy inside election tales from political analyst Lichtman (White Protestant Nation). The casual reader’s eyes, however, may glaze over upon encountering statistical charts. Anyone looking for the inside track in Vegas betting isn’t going to find a sure thing here, but curious and persevering readers will gain an abundance of new information and insight into the process of election decision-making. Using 13 “keys” that measure the incumbent administration’s performance, Lichtman has devised a diagnostic prediction system for U.S. presidential races. He introduces the system—“the keys to the White House”—in the book’s first few pages. In the balance of the book he uses election result specifics, from 1860 to the present day, to illustrate the keys and their outcomes. In the book’s concluding pages, Lichtman provides insight into this year’s election and offers some advice for Obama’s contribution to the Democratic campaign, capping off a timely and rewarding read. (Oct.)

 
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