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Real Options Valuation|Max Schöne

Real Options Valuation : The Importance of Stochastic Process Choice in Commodity Price Modelling

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Overview

The Author shows that modelling the uncertain cash flow dynamics of an investment project deserves careful attention in real options valuation. Focusing on the case of commodity price uncertainty, a broad empirical study reveals that, contrary to common assumptions, prices are often non-stationary and exhibit non-normally distributed returns. Subsequently, more realistic stochastic volatility, jump diffusion, and L vy processes are evaluated in the context of a stylised investment project. The valuation results suggest that stochastic process choice can have substantial implications for valuation results and optimal investment rules.

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Details

  • ISBN-13: 9783658074920
  • ISBN-10: 3658074922
  • Publisher: Springer Gabler
  • Publish Date: October 2014
  • Dimensions: 8.27 x 5.83 x 0.28 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 0.37 pounds
  • Page Count: 104

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