{ "item_title" : "Uncertainty and Quality in Science for Policy", "item_author" : [" S. O. Funtowicz", "J. R. Ravetz "], "item_description" : "60 -I 137.0 29 ERROR BARS - tONE (1 \ \ \ 4\0 \ \ E \ a. a. \ Z30 \ 137.0388 \ 0 137.0377 \ \ 20 \ \ 0 to 0 '50 Fig.1. Successive recommended values of the fine-structure constand IX-I (B. N. Taylor et 01., 1969,7) reminder that the value is not fully accepted by colleagues, since they will expect it to jump about for a while longer. Our next example is taken from a recent study in the social sciences. It shows how a set of related estimates of uncertainty can be expressed clearly and effectively by NUSAP. Suppose that we wish to forecast what the future price of a basic commodity might be, especially when at the moment its price is artificially maintained by a cartel of producers. There is no experimental evidence on such a future contingency, and yet we are not completely in the dark. There is a long history of expertise in the field; and there is a well-tried standard model by which experts' guesses can be translated into mathematical form.", "item_img_path" : "https://covers3.booksamillion.com/covers/bam/0/79/230/799/0792307992_b.jpg", "price_data" : { "retail_price" : "169.99", "online_price" : "169.99", "our_price" : "169.99", "club_price" : "169.99", "savings_pct" : "0", "savings_amt" : "0.00", "club_savings_pct" : "0", "club_savings_amt" : "0.00", "discount_pct" : "10", "store_price" : "" } }

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