{ "item_title" : "Relating Initial Budget to Program Growth with Rayleigh and Weibull Models", "item_author" : [" Eric J. Unger "], "item_description" : " Previous research on completed defense RD shows that contract expenditures can be fit well with a Rayleigh model. With fixed outlay rates, as prescribed by the OSD comptroller, the budget profile must have most of the funds in the early years to produce Rayleigh-distributed expenditures. RD programs with more delayed funding profiles may also produce expenditures that a Rayleigh model fits through schedule slips and cost overruns. This research tests how well the initial funding profile produces Rayleigh-distributed expenditures that can be related to the program's final cost overrun and schedule slips. Based only on the initial budget profile, we explain 53.4% of cost overruns and 50.5% of percent schedule slip in 37 completed programs. ", "item_img_path" : "https://covers4.booksamillion.com/covers/bam/1/28/829/403/1288294034_b.jpg", "price_data" : { "retail_price" : "57.95", "online_price" : "57.95", "our_price" : "57.95", "club_price" : "57.95", "savings_pct" : "0", "savings_amt" : "0.00", "club_savings_pct" : "0", "club_savings_amt" : "0.00", "discount_pct" : "10", "store_price" : "" } }

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